December 7-13, 2025

Rain, rain, and more rain

common raven
Is this raven happy for a little sun? Photo by David Lukas

This has been a week for the record books, with a massive atmospheric river unleashing 15 inches of rain in the mountains and causing widespread flooding across western Washington.


❄️
SPECIAL EVENT: Back by popular demand, I will be offering my winter ecology talk at the Winthrop Library on Saturday, December 27, at 2 pm. You'll be amazed to learn how snow forms and feeds a web of life in the winter! The event is free, with donations appreciated.

Week in Review

I'm not sure how much rain we received in the Methow Valley this week, but it was a lot! While I measured 2 inches at my house in Winthrop, weather stations reported 5 inches in Mazama. Even worse, the storm started with several inches of snow that turned into heavy rain in the middle of the night, and our creeks and rivers rose dramatically from the combination of rain and melting snow.

Methow River
Within a day or two, the Methow River went from depressingly low to a surging, turbid mess. Photo by David Lukas

Amid all the rain, however, we also had a couple of lovely days this week, and I was surprised at how much activity I observed. First of all, the light and sky were endlessly interesting, and they made every outing enjoyable. I think this was because every day presented some stage of a storm system either arriving or departing.

snowy peaks
A glimpse of the peaks around Hoodoo Peak. Photo by David Lukas

mackerel sky
A dramatic mackerel sky hours before the big storm arrived. Photo by David Lukas

sunset
A lovely way to close out the week. Photo by David Lukas

This unusually warm turn in the weather is also impacting plants, most notably in terms of new sprouts emerging from the soil. Someone asked me if these seedlings would survive the winter, and I think in general it helps if plants get an early start, then sit out the winter under an insulating blanket of snow. However, this strategy could backfire if temperatures drop well below freezing and there's little to no snow on the ground.

new grasses
A carpet of new grass shoots. Photo by David Lukas

stained snow under alders
Yellow staining on the snow caused by rain washing tannins off the bark of an alder. Photo by David Lukas

There was also a lot of bird activity this week, and I ended up with so many photographs that it would make for a very long newsletter. Notable sightings include the continued presence of high numbers of trumpeter swans at Big Twin Lake (up to 26 birds) and a large group of common mergansers hanging out at Pearrygin Lake.

trumpeter swans
Some of the trumpeter swans that are lingering at Big Twin Lake. Photo by David Lukas

common mergansers
There are so many common mergansers at Pearrygin Lake that you can't get them all in one image. Photo by David Lukas

Pearrygin Lake has also been a magnet for finches and other seed-eating birds. On a sunny day, the park's campgrounds are buzzing with noise and activity as countless house, purple, and Cassin's finches, American goldfinches, and red crossbills gather to feed on the seeds of the park's many ornamental trees. This is easily the best spot to see birds in the valley right now.

house finch
Male house finch soaking up the sun. Photo by David Lukas

American goldfinch
One of about 100 American goldfinches eating seeds in an ornamental tree. Photo by David Lukas

red crossbill
I only spotted one pair of red crossbills this week, but later in the winter, there can be dozens or hundreds of them at Pearrygin. Photo by David Lukas

I saw many other fun birds this week, including hairy woodpeckers, song sparrows, and American kestrels, plus a courageous red-winged blackbird singing and proclaiming a territory in the cattails at a frozen pond. Even more interesting were a handful of what you might call "winter birds," including my first northern pygmy owl of the season, plus some northern shrikes, and a late-lingering northern harrier.

pygmy owl
Last year, I didn't see a single pygmy owl, and other winters they are common, so I wonder if this one at Sun Mountain is an early indication that we'll be seeing more this winter. Photo by David Lukas

northern shrike
Shrikes are fast-flying, active hunters. Photo by David Lukas

northern harrier
I love photographing raptors when light reflects off the snow and illuminates their bellies. Photo by David Lukas

Finally, the warmth of a sunny day seems to have gotten some red squirrels pretty excited because two of them at Pearrygin Lake were out fighting for territory. Snow was flying as they rolled, kicked, and leaped up and down to avoid each other's attacks. They generally avoid confrontations like this when conditions are cold and snowy, but maybe the warm weather makes them start thinking about spring.

red squirrel
A red squirrel fleeing for its life, with another one hot on its heels. Photo by David Lukas


Observation of the Week: Atmospheric River

Without a doubt, the observation of the week was this week's atmospheric river, which delivered record-breaking rainfalls and flooding across much of the Pacific Northwest. Atmospheric rivers are long, narrow corridors of concentrated moisture in the atmosphere that start in the South Pacific and transport vast amounts of water to the West Coast.

atmospheric river
A snapshot of the atmospheric river approaching Washington. Image from ECMWF

Ironically, just a few days ago, much of Washington was experiencing a prolonged drought. Although we just received an insane amount of water, the Cascade snowpack still isn't doing well because much of this deluge of water is flushing through the system as rain rather than lingering in deep snowpacks.

drought map
It's hard to believe that this is how things looked just over a week ago. Image from USDA

snow depth map
A snow depth map from December 12 shows how little snow there is after the atmospheric river dropped an insane amount of warm rain. Image from ECMWF

Harts Pass Snotel
The Harts Pass SNOTEL reveals much higher levels of water (black line) than the historical average (green lines). Image from NRCS

If you don't already know about Michael Snyder, his daily Pacific Northwest Weather Watch updates on YouTube are probably the best and most detailed explanations of what's happening in Northwest weather. His updates are entertaining and well worth watching. This week he's been comparing the atmospheric river we just got with the next one in line, and it's looks like we're in for another round. Buckle up folks and stay safe!

precipitation map
Precipitation levels for this week's atmospheric river.

precipitation map
Compared to predicted rainfall levels for the next atmospheric river heading our way!

💡
Every week, I work tirelessly to research and compile nature observations to share with you. This effort is supported entirely by paid subscriptions and one-time donations. For as little as the cost of one coffee a month, you can help sustain the newsletter, and your support means the world to me. Thank you, and please share the newsletter!